Análisis Basel vs Thun
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.23
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.6%
Empate
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+19%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ago. 2018 |
APO
1 - 0
BAS
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 2018 |
ZUR
1 - 1
BAS
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 ago. 2018 |
BAS
3 - 2
APO
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 ago. 2018 |
MNG
0 - 3
BAS
4%
11%
85%
|
84 | 10 | 74 | 0 |
| 16 ago. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 0
VIT
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ago. 2018 |
THU
1 - 1
LUG
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 ago. 2018 |
VEY
1 - 5
THU
1%
3%
96%
|
75 | 22 | 53 | 0 |
| 11 ago. 2018 |
NEX
1 - 5
THU
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 ago. 2018 |
STG
3 - 2
THU
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 jul. 2018 |
THU
2 - 1
FCL
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |