Análisis Bastia vs Istres
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
16.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 may. 2007 |
FCG
4 - 2
BAS
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 may. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 2
STR
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 may. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 1
BAS
45%
26%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2007 |
BAS
4 - 1
AJA
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2007 |
LHA
2 - 0
BAS
45%
28%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 may. 2007 |
IST
1 - 2
CAE
21%
24%
55%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 may. 2007 |
FCL
1 - 2
IST
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 may. 2007 |
IST
2 - 2
REI
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2007 |
BRE
0 - 0
IST
53%
25%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2007 |
FCG
3 - 3
IST
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |