Análisis Bastia vs Lille
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.91
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 sep. 1981 |
MPL
3 - 2
BAS
53%
25%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 1981 |
KOO
0 - 0
BAS
27%
22%
51%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 1981 |
BAS
4 - 4
GIR
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 sep. 1981 |
LYO
4 - 1
BAS
59%
23%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 ago. 1981 |
BAS
1 - 1
NIC
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 sep. 1981 |
LIL
3 - 4
ASS
32%
28%
41%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 1981 |
LIL
6 - 1
MPL
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 sep. 1981 |
GIR
1 - 1
LIL
66%
20%
15%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 1981 |
LIL
1 - 0
LYO
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 ago. 1981 |
NAN
1 - 2
LIL
76%
15%
9%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |