Análisis Bastia vs Metz
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.07
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.4%
Empate
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
16.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 1977 |
TRO
1 - 0
BAS
38%
27%
36%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 1977 |
BAS
3 - 2
FCR
70%
19%
12%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 sep. 1977 |
SCP
1 - 2
BAS
77%
15%
8%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 1977 |
NAN
2 - 0
BAS
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 1977 |
BAS
3 - 0
VAL
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 1977 |
MET
0 - 2
ASS
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 1977 |
STR
5 - 1
MET
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 1977 |
MET
3 - 0
ASN
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 1977 |
PSG
2 - 0
MET
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 1977 |
MET
1 - 0
STL
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |