Análisis Benfica vs Académica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.53
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.6%
Empate
0-0
4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.68
Goles esperados
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+24%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 sep. 2011 |
SLB
1 - 1
MUD
24%
23%
53%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2011 |
SLB
2 - 1
VIT
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 ago. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 2
SLB
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 ago. 2011 |
SLB
3 - 1
TWE
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 ago. 2011 |
SLB
3 - 1
FEI
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
Partidos
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 sep. 2011 |
ACA
4 - 0
NAC
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 2011 |
GFC
2 - 0
ACA
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 ago. 2011 |
ACA
1 - 0
RIO
46%
28%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 ago. 2011 |
UDL
1 - 2
ACA
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 may. 2011 |
PAÇ
5 - 1
ACA
53%
25%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |