Análisis Benfica vs Porto
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.57
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
16.2%
10.8%
Empate
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
10.8%
8.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.2
Goles esperados
0-1
1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+28%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 mar. 1947 |
BOA
1 - 3
SLB
8%
12%
80%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 1947 |
SLB
3 - 2
VST
86%
9%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 1947 |
SLE
3 - 5
SLB
16%
17%
66%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 1947 |
SLB
4 - 1
ACA
85%
9%
6%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 1947 |
SCP
6 - 1
SLB
58%
18%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 mar. 1947 |
ATL
1 - 3
FCP
36%
21%
44%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 1947 |
FCP
6 - 0
BOA
91%
6%
3%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 1947 |
FCP
3 - 3
FAM
89%
7%
4%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 1947 |
VST
4 - 0
FCP
34%
21%
45%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 feb. 1947 |
FCP
6 - 0
SAN
95%
4%
1%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | +1 |