Análisis Benfica vs Porto
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.95
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.3%
Empate
0-0
2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+26%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 ene. 1966 |
FAB
1 - 3
SLB
24%
22%
54%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 1966 |
SLB
4 - 0
ACA
87%
9%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 ene. 1966 |
SLB
2 - 0
BEL
89%
8%
4%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 dic. 1965 |
VST
4 - 4
SLB
25%
22%
53%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 1965 |
SLB
4 - 1
SPB
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
Partidos
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 ene. 1966 |
FCP
1 - 0
LEX
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 1966 |
FCB
2 - 0
FCP
17%
22%
61%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 ene. 1966 |
BMA
1 - 3
FCP
21%
22%
57%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 dic. 1965 |
FCP
1 - 1
SCP
48%
24%
29%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 1965 |
LGC
0 - 0
FCP
22%
23%
56%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |