Análisis Benfica vs Sporting Braga
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
79.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.64
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.4%
Empate
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
6.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.64
Goles esperados
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+25%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 abr. 1978 |
ACA
0 - 3
SLB
26%
27%
47%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 1978 |
MAR
0 - 1
SLB
9%
17%
74%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 1978 |
SLB
1 - 1
POR
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 1978 |
ESP
1 - 5
SLB
9%
18%
73%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 1978 |
SLB
2 - 0
BOA
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 abr. 1978 |
SPB
2 - 0
POR
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 1978 |
FCP
4 - 1
SPB
84%
11%
5%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 1978 |
ESP
1 - 0
SPB
33%
28%
40%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 abr. 1978 |
SPB
2 - 1
BOA
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 abr. 1978 |
VAR
1 - 1
SPB
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |