Análisis Brasiliense vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.57
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.2%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.12
Goles esperados
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 jul. 2004 |
ANA
1 - 2
BRA
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 jul. 2004 |
POR
4 - 2
BRA
43%
27%
31%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 jul. 2004 |
BRA
2 - 1
PAU
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 jul. 2004 |
BRA
3 - 0
AMF
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 jun. 2004 |
CRB
1 - 0
BRA
26%
28%
46%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 jul. 2004 |
NAU
3 - 0
POR
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 jul. 2004 |
PAU
2 - 1
NAU
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 jul. 2004 |
NAU
1 - 0
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 jun. 2004 |
NAU
2 - 1
AME
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 jun. 2004 |
CAX
2 - 3
NAU
29%
24%
46%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |