Análisis Brescia vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.56
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.4%
Empate
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
19.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 oct. 1954 |
VIC
3 - 0
BRE
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 1954 |
BRE
2 - 1
PAR
28%
25%
48%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 1954 |
USA
1 - 0
BRE
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 may. 1954 |
ATP
1 - 1
BRE
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 may. 1954 |
VER
0 - 0
BRE
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 oct. 1954 |
TAR
2 - 1
MES
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 1954 |
MES
1 - 0
ASS
49%
27%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 sep. 1954 |
MES
2 - 1
VIC
51%
27%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 may. 1954 |
MES
2 - 0
VER
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 may. 1954 |
ACM
3 - 0
MES
63%
22%
16%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |