Análisis Burgos vs Lleida
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
83.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.13
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
10.6%
Empate
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 nov. 1976 |
BUR
2 - 2
ATH
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 1976 |
SLA
3 - 1
BUR
58%
25%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 oct. 1976 |
ACE
0 - 0
BUR
32%
26%
43%
|
71 | 34 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 1976 |
BUR
3 - 0
MAL
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 oct. 1976 |
RMA
1 - 0
BUR
84%
11%
5%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 nov. 1976 |
LLE
2 - 0
ELD
66%
23%
11%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 1976 |
OLI
1 - 0
LLE
59%
26%
15%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 1976 |
LLE
2 - 0
UES
40%
28%
33%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 oct. 1976 |
LLE
6 - 0
VIN
55%
27%
18%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 oct. 1976 |
REU
4 - 1
LLE
23%
26%
52%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | -2 |