Análisis Cagliari vs Modena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
74.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.6
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.3%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 1953 |
MES
1 - 0
CAG
35%
24%
41%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 1953 |
VIC
3 - 3
CAG
41%
24%
35%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 1953 |
CAG
1 - 1
ATP
75%
15%
10%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 1953 |
CAG
2 - 2
UNI
68%
18%
15%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 1953 |
BRE
3 - 2
CAG
35%
24%
41%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 1953 |
ASL
0 - 2
MOD
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 1953 |
MOD
0 - 0
GEN
49%
25%
25%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 1953 |
MOD
3 - 0
VIC
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 mar. 1953 |
ASS
3 - 0
MOD
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 mar. 1953 |
MOD
0 - 0
SAL
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |