Oberliga Nordost-Süd. Jor. 15

Análisis Carl Zeiss Jena II vs Erzgebirge Aue II

Carl Zeiss Jena II Erzgebirge Aue II
36 ELO 37
3.5% Tilt 8%
23326º Ranking ELO general 23329º
1169º Ranking ELO país 1172º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
52.3%
Carl Zeiss Jena II
22.9%
Empate
24.8%
Erzgebirge Aue II

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
52.3%
Probabilidad gana
Carl Zeiss Jena II
1.83
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.8%
Probabilidad gana
Erzgebirge Aue II
1.19
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Carl Zeiss Jena II
Erzgebirge Aue II
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Carl Zeiss Jena II
Carl Zeiss Jena II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 mar. 2011
MAG
Magdeburg II
1 - 1
Carl Zeiss Jena II
CAR
61%
21%
18%
37 42 5 0
12 mar. 2011
CAR
Carl Zeiss Jena II
1 - 2
Auerbach
AUE
30%
25%
45%
38 45 7 -1
06 mar. 2011
SAC
Sachsen Leipzig
1 - 1
Carl Zeiss Jena II
CAR
25%
25%
50%
38 30 8 0
27 feb. 2011
CAR
Carl Zeiss Jena II
1 - 1
VfL Halle
VFL
64%
20%
17%
37 30 7 +1
19 feb. 2011
ROT
Rot-Weiß Erfurt II
1 - 0
Carl Zeiss Jena II
CAR
38%
25%
37%
38 37 1 -1

Partidos

Erzgebirge Aue II
Erzgebirge Aue II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 mar. 2011
ZWI
Zwickau
4 - 1
Erzgebirge Aue II
ERZ
44%
24%
32%
38 33 5 0
13 mar. 2011
BDR
Borea Dresden
0 - 2
Erzgebirge Aue II
ERZ
37%
25%
39%
37 30 7 +1
06 mar. 2011
MAG
Magdeburg II
2 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue II
ERZ
66%
20%
15%
37 44 7 0
26 feb. 2011
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue II
0 - 6
Auerbach
AUE
34%
26%
40%
39 43 4 -2
20 feb. 2011
SAC
Sachsen Leipzig
0 - 2
Erzgebirge Aue II
ERZ
34%
26%
40%
38 32 6 +1
X