Análisis Cayón vs CD Naval
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.98
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.7%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 may. 1983 |
CAU
2 - 0
CAY
55%
26%
19%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 1983 |
CAY
4 - 0
ROB
43%
27%
29%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 abr. 1983 |
ENA
1 - 0
CAY
47%
27%
25%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 abr. 1983 |
CAY
2 - 0
ADB
77%
15%
8%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 abr. 1983 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAY
51%
26%
23%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 may. 1983 |
NAV
1 - 0
AST
55%
24%
22%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 1983 |
RAY
0 - 0
NAV
76%
16%
8%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 1983 |
NAV
2 - 0
TUR
50%
26%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 abr. 1983 |
SIE
3 - 0
NAV
51%
26%
23%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 abr. 1983 |
NAV
3 - 0
PIL
60%
23%
17%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |