Análisis CD Alfaro vs Náxara
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.03
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.8%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
17%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 ene. 2012 |
VIA
0 - 2
ALF
11%
17%
72%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 ene. 2012 |
ALF
5 - 0
TED
84%
11%
5%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 4
ALF
7%
16%
77%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2011 |
ALF
4 - 2
VAR
59%
22%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 dic. 2011 |
CLH
3 - 3
ALF
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Náxara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 ene. 2012 |
NAX
3 - 0
CAL
81%
14%
5%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 ene. 2012 |
NAX
4 - 1
VAR
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 dic. 2011 |
CLH
0 - 1
NAX
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 dic. 2011 |
NAX
0 - 1
SDL
22%
24%
54%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -2 |
| 08 dic. 2011 |
UDL
1 - 1
NAX
51%
24%
25%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |