Análisis Monte Carlo vs Macao U23
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.56
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.2%
Empate
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
15.8%
Win probability
1.19
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 mar. 2014 |
WAK
1 - 2
MCA
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 2
MCA
51%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2014 |
PSP
1 - 1
MCA
39%
24%
38%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 2014 |
SMA
2 - 0
MCA
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 jun. 2013 |
GLP
1 - 2
MCA
53%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Macao U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 mar. 2014 |
BEN
3 - 0
MAC
62%
19%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2014 |
PSP
0 - 1
MAC
53%
22%
24%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 feb. 2014 |
SMA
2 - 0
MAC
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 4
CPK
35%
24%
42%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 jun. 2013 |
PSP
1 - 0
MAC
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |