Análisis Monte Carlo vs Policia SP
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.29
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.4%
Empate
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
19.9%
Win probability
1.26
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 abr. 2014 |
MCA
2 - 5
SMA
60%
19%
21%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2014 |
CPK
0 - 1
MCA
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2014 |
MCA
2 - 0
LAI
70%
16%
14%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2014 |
MCA
6 - 1
KLM
81%
12%
8%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2014 |
MCA
10 - 0
MAC
67%
17%
16%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 abr. 2014 |
BEN
3 - 0
PSP
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2014 |
WAK
1 - 1
PSP
61%
20%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2014 |
SMA
1 - 0
PSP
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 2014 |
CPK
1 - 1
PSP
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2014 |
LAI
1 - 2
PSP
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |