Análisis Monte Carlo vs Sporting Macau
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
2.29
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.9%
Empate
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
24.8%
Win probability
1.5
Goles esperados
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+29%
-119%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 may. 2015 |
WAK
1 - 0
MCA
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 may. 2015 |
MCA
3 - 0
CLU
66%
17%
17%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 1
MCA
54%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2015 |
MCA
1 - 0
PSP
63%
20%
18%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2015 |
MAC
0 - 5
MCA
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 may. 2015 |
SMA
2 - 0
LAI
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 may. 2015 |
CPK
4 - 2
SMA
53%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2015 |
WAK
1 - 3
SMA
61%
18%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2015 |
SMA
3 - 1
CLU
57%
21%
23%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 0
SMA
55%
20%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |