Análisis Monte Carlo vs Tak Chun Ka I
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.52
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.9%
Empate
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
18.1%
Win probability
1.3
Goles esperados
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-32%
-103%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 feb. 2022 |
CPK
3 - 2
MCA
67%
16%
17%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 feb. 2022 |
MCA
7 - 0
SMA
49%
21%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 ene. 2022 |
CHF
0 - 4
MCA
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 ene. 2022 |
CPO
0 - 6
MCA
54%
19%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 ene. 2022 |
MCA
5 - 1
LUL
47%
20%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Tak Chun Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 feb. 2022 |
TCK
0 - 0
BMA
48%
22%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2022 |
TCK
0 - 4
BEN
28%
19%
53%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 ene. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 2
TCK
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 ene. 2022 |
TCK
0 - 8
CPK
30%
20%
50%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 nov. 2021 |
TCK
0 - 3
SMA
56%
20%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |