Análisis Monte Carlo vs Windsor Arch Ka I
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
2.3
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.9%
Empate
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
25.6%
Win probability
1.55
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-33%
-12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 abr. 2012 |
LLM
1 - 4
MCA
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2012 |
MCA
3 - 1
KTM
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 2
MCA
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 3
MCA
49%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2012 |
HNM
0 - 8
MCA
41%
22%
36%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Windsor Arch Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 abr. 2012 |
WAK
4 - 1
MAC
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 3
WAK
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2012 |
WAK
6 - 0
HNM
69%
17%
15%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2012 |
GLP
0 - 1
WAK
48%
21%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2012 |
PSP
1 - 6
WAK
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |