Análisis Cerea vs Bagnolese
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.8
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.2%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.22
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cerea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 abr. 2012 |
ASS
2 - 2
CER
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2012 |
CER
2 - 0
FOR
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +3 |
| 25 mar. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
CER
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 mar. 2012 |
CER
0 - 2
VIR
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 mar. 2012 |
CER
1 - 3
TUT
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
Partidos
Bagnolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 abr. 2012 |
BAG
0 - 1
ACE
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2012 |
SCA
1 - 2
BAG
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 mar. 2012 |
BAG
1 - 2
RAV
23%
24%
53%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 mar. 2012 |
LAN
0 - 1
BAG
59%
21%
19%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 mar. 2012 |
BAG
2 - 0
VIR
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |