Análisis Cerro Porteño vs Guaraní
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.5%
Empate
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.14
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+28%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 may. 2001 |
GUA
0 - 2
CCP
49%
24%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 may. 2001 |
CAZ
3 - 1
CCP
63%
19%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 may. 2001 |
LQE
2 - 2
CCP
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2001 |
CCP
2 - 1
CAZ
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 may. 2001 |
CCP
3 - 2
12O
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 may. 2001 |
GUA
0 - 2
CCP
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 may. 2001 |
OLI
2 - 2
GUA
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 may. 2001 |
GUA
2 - 2
AME
59%
23%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2001 |
GUA
0 - 1
RIV
19%
21%
60%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 abr. 2001 |
CCC
0 - 2
GUA
33%
27%
41%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |