Análisis Chapecoense vs Guarani de Palhoça
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.04
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.7%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 mar. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 1
CHA
25%
23%
52%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2007 |
CHA
2 - 1
CRI
42%
24%
34%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2007 |
BRU
0 - 2
CHA
38%
24%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 mar. 2007 |
CHA
2 - 2
AVA
55%
23%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 0
JUV
50%
23%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 mar. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 0
JUV
39%
24%
37%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2007 |
FFL
4 - 4
GUA
79%
15%
6%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 1
HER
40%
24%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 mar. 2007 |
ECP
1 - 0
GUA
29%
23%
47%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 mar. 2007 |
GUA
2 - 1
MET
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |