Análisis Chelsea vs Derby County
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
70.2%
Probabilidad gana
2.13
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.6%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.1%
Probabilidad gana
0.71
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 may. 2000 |
ARS
2 - 1
CHL
56%
24%
21%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2000 |
CHL
2 - 0
LIV
53%
24%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2000 |
MUD
3 - 2
CHL
66%
19%
15%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2000 |
CHL
1 - 1
MID
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2000 |
FCB
5 - 1
CHL
68%
19%
14%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 may. 2000 |
DER
0 - 0
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2000 |
TOT
1 - 1
DER
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2000 |
DER
2 - 0
SOU
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2000 |
BRA
4 - 4
DER
37%
27%
35%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2000 |
DER
1 - 2
WHU
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |