Análisis China vs Corea del Norte
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
78.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.89
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
13.1%
Empate
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 sep. 1989 |
KWT
2 - 0
CHN
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 jul. 1989 |
CHN
1 - 0
JPN
77%
14%
8%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 may. 1989 |
JPN
2 - 0
CHN
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 may. 1989 |
JPN
2 - 2
CHN
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 1988 |
IRN
0 - 0
CHN
59%
25%
16%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Corea del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 jul. 1989 |
JPN
0 - 1
PRK
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 jul. 1989 |
PRK
2 - 1
IDN
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 jul. 1989 |
PRK
4 - 1
HKG
70%
19%
12%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 jun. 1989 |
PRK
2 - 0
JPN
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 jun. 1989 |
JPN
2 - 1
PRK
60%
21%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |