Análisis Choco vs Arosa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
74.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.68
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.9%
Empate
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-22%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 sep. 1964 |
ASP
3 - 1
CHO
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 1964 |
CHO
1 - 2
ACF
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 sep. 1964 |
FOZ
3 - 2
CHO
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 abr. 1964 |
CEL
1 - 0
CHO
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 abr. 1964 |
CHO
4 - 1
LUG
45%
24%
31%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +3 |
Partidos
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 sep. 1964 |
ARO
0 - 0
ALO
48%
24%
29%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 1964 |
COX
3 - 2
ARO
53%
22%
24%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 sep. 1964 |
ARO
0 - 1
RCF
11%
17%
72%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 1964 |
ACF
2 - 0
ARO
61%
22%
18%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 abr. 1964 |
DEP
7 - 1
ARO
87%
9%
4%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |