Análisis Cieza vs Plus Ultra
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.33
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.3%
Empate
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+18%
-90%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 ene. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 0
CIE
15%
21%
64%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 2011 |
CIE
1 - 0
PUL
64%
20%
17%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 2011 |
MOR
3 - 4
CIE
50%
25%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 ene. 2011 |
LHO
2 - 1
CIE
44%
25%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 dic. 2010 |
CIE
1 - 1
FOR
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 ene. 2011 |
PLU
1 - 2
PUT
59%
22%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 2011 |
CCS
3 - 0
PLU
77%
15%
9%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 ene. 2011 |
PLU
0 - 3
IMP
17%
24%
59%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 ene. 2011 |
PLU
2 - 0
CDB
65%
20%
15%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 2010 |
MSM
1 - 0
PLU
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |