Análisis Aurora vs Real Santa Cruz
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
65.6%
Probabilidad gana
2.06
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.1%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+21%
-21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 may. 2004 |
RPO
2 - 3
AUR
59%
21%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2004 |
BLO
1 - 1
AUR
33%
26%
42%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2004 |
AUR
1 - 0
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 abr. 2004 |
JWI
2 - 3
AUR
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2004 |
AUR
3 - 1
LAP
54%
24%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 may. 2004 |
SAC
3 - 1
IBE
42%
25%
33%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 1
SAC
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2004 |
SAC
1 - 1
RPO
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2004 |
BLO
2 - 3
SAC
59%
21%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2004 |
SAC
0 - 2
BOL
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |