Análisis Aurora vs Club Unión Central
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.94
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.7%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 sep. 2004 |
AUR
1 - 1
JWI
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2004 |
UNI
2 - 3
AUR
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 sep. 2004 |
AUR
0 - 0
OPE
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 2004 |
SAC
1 - 2
AUR
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 ago. 2004 |
AUR
0 - 0
BLO
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Club Unión Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 dic. 2004 |
BLO
3 - 4
UNI
56%
22%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 2
SAN
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2004 |
BOL
3 - 1
UNI
70%
17%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 dic. 2004 |
UNI
0 - 3
RPO
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 dic. 2004 |
JWI
2 - 2
UNI
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |