Análisis Cobresal vs La Serena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.9%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
-13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 sep. 2000 |
NTA
4 - 2
CSL
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 2000 |
CSL
2 - 1
CSD
47%
25%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 ago. 2000 |
CDM
0 - 0
CSL
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 ago. 2000 |
CSL
0 - 0
OVA
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 2000 |
IQU
0 - 2
CSL
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 sep. 2000 |
CSD
4 - 0
DLS
62%
21%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 2000 |
DLS
1 - 0
OVA
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 ago. 2000 |
SAN
4 - 1
DLS
57%
24%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 ago. 2000 |
2 - 1
DLS
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 ago. 2000 |
DLS
0 - 0
NUB
55%
23%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |