Análisis Colloto vs Atlético de Lugones
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.03
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.8%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+274%
-35%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Colloto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2009 |
LUA
1 - 3
COL
42%
25%
33%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2009 |
COL
3 - 0
PRA
43%
26%
31%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 mar. 2009 |
SMA
0 - 0
COL
34%
26%
40%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2009 |
COL
0 - 2
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 mar. 2009 |
URR
0 - 1
COL
30%
25%
45%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 abr. 2009 |
ATL
3 - 0
HIS
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2009 |
SAL
0 - 1
ATL
23%
24%
53%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 0
TAP
30%
25%
45%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 mar. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 2
ATL
32%
25%
42%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 0
COM
53%
24%
23%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |