Análisis Cuarto Distrito vs Pinatar
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
16.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.2%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
62%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.97
Goles esperados
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cuarto Distrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 feb. 2010 |
CUA
1 - 2
CAR
17%
22%
61%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 2010 |
LOR
5 - 1
CUA
84%
12%
4%
|
16 | 56 | 40 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2010 |
CUA
1 - 2
CCS
16%
21%
63%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 ene. 2010 |
CPE
2 - 0
CUA
64%
20%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 ene. 2010 |
CUA
1 - 1
CAL
52%
23%
26%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Pinatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 feb. 2010 |
PIN
0 - 1
JUM
52%
24%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 2010 |
CAR
4 - 1
PIN
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 ene. 2010 |
PIN
1 - 1
PUL
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 2010 |
LOR
2 - 2
PIN
79%
14%
7%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | +1 |
| 17 ene. 2010 |
PIN
0 - 1
CDB
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -1 |