Análisis Def. Belgrano vs Belgrano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.02
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
12.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.74
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 abr. 2004 |
SMA
1 - 0
DEF
19%
23%
58%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2004 |
DEF
1 - 1
HUR
67%
19%
13%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2004 |
TFE
2 - 0
DEF
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 mar. 2004 |
DEF
3 - 3
DYJ
79%
15%
6%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2004 |
CAU
2 - 2
DEF
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 abr. 2004 |
BEL
0 - 1
FER
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2004 |
JAN
1 - 1
BEL
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 abr. 2004 |
BEL
1 - 0
CAI
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 mar. 2004 |
POR
2 - 1
BEL
37%
29%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 mar. 2004 |
BEL
0 - 3
INS
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |