Análisis Def. Belgrano vs Colegiales
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.24
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.9%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 abr. 2001 |
ARQ
3 - 0
DEF
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2001 |
DEF
3 - 1
BRO
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2001 |
SAR
3 - 3
DEF
71%
17%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 mar. 2001 |
DEF
1 - 0
MER
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 2001 |
DEF
3 - 1
ALM
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
Colegiales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 abr. 2001 |
COL
1 - 1
STM
24%
25%
52%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2001 |
ARM
1 - 1
COL
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 mar. 2001 |
COL
0 - 1
BER
53%
24%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 mar. 2001 |
CAM
2 - 2
COL
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2001 |
COL
0 - 2
TEM
11%
22%
67%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |