Análisis Def. Belgrano vs CA Estudiantes
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
47.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.45
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.5%
Empate
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.01
Goles esperados
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 oct. 2009 |
ALM
1 - 0
DEF
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 2
COL
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 sep. 2009 |
BRO
0 - 1
DEF
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 sep. 2009 |
DEF
3 - 2
FLA
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 sep. 2009 |
ARM
0 - 2
DEF
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 2009 |
EST
1 - 2
AND
39%
28%
34%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 2009 |
ALM
1 - 1
EST
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 2009 |
EST
2 - 1
MOR
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2009 |
ACA
0 - 1
EST
32%
29%
38%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 sep. 2009 |
EST
0 - 1
SUA
57%
25%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |