Análisis Def. Belgrano vs JJ Urquiza
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.71
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
11.4%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
19.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.1%
22.4%
Empate
0-0
11.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
22.4%
9.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.48
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 ago. 2014 |
CAD
0 - 3
DEF
24%
29%
47%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 ago. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 0
BER
68%
23%
10%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | -1 |
| 17 may. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 1
DEF
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 may. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 0
UAI
37%
30%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 may. 2014 |
EST
2 - 2
DEF
52%
27%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
JJ Urquiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 ago. 2014 |
JJU
1 - 1
DOC
29%
26%
45%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 ago. 2014 |
JJU
1 - 2
CAD
29%
26%
45%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 may. 2014 |
JJU
1 - 1
ITA
26%
28%
46%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 may. 2014 |
ITU
1 - 0
JJU
52%
26%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 may. 2014 |
JJU
0 - 3
TAL
35%
28%
38%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |