Apertura Uruguay Jor. 9

Análisis Defensor Sporting vs Cerro CA

Defensor Sporting Cerro CA
78 ELO 75
6.9% Tilt -1.5%
475º Ranking ELO general 484º
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
57.3%
Defensor Sporting
23.6%
Empate
19.1%
Cerro CA

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
Defensor Sporting
1.73
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
Cerro CA
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Defensor Sporting
+1%
-10%
Cerro CA

Progresión del ELO

Defensor Sporting
Cerro CA
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 oct. 2011
RAC
Racing Montevideo
0 - 3
Defensor Sporting
DEF
37%
27%
37%
78 70 8 0
24 sep. 2011
DEF
Defensor Sporting
1 - 0
Rentistas
REN
69%
19%
12%
78 67 11 0
18 sep. 2011
LFC
Liverpool Montevideo
2 - 3
Defensor Sporting
DEF
39%
27%
34%
78 73 5 0
11 sep. 2011
DEF
Defensor Sporting
0 - 1
Fénix
FEN
59%
22%
18%
78 73 5 0
03 sep. 2011
PEÑ
Peñarol
1 - 0
Defensor Sporting
DEF
57%
23%
20%
79 82 3 -1

Partidos

Cerro CA
Cerro CA
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 oct. 2011
CER
Cerro CA
2 - 0
River Plate Montevideo
RIV
43%
26%
31%
74 74 0 0
25 sep. 2011
CER
Cerro CA
2 - 1
Liverpool Montevideo
LFC
48%
26%
26%
74 72 2 0
17 sep. 2011
FEN
Fénix
0 - 3
Cerro CA
CER
51%
26%
23%
73 73 0 +1
10 sep. 2011
CER
Cerro CA
1 - 0
Montevideo Wanderers
MWA
49%
25%
26%
73 72 1 0
04 sep. 2011
REN
Rentistas
1 - 0
Cerro CA
CER
40%
28%
33%
73 67 6 0