Uruguay - Final de Campeones Semifinal
Global 2-5
Análisis Defensor Sporting vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.12
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+29%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 jun. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
DEF
53%
26%
21%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 jun. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 2
DEF
20%
26%
54%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 may. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 3
TAC
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | -2 |
| 29 may. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 1
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 may. 2009 |
JUN
1 - 4
DEF
24%
26%
50%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 jun. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 0
PAL
39%
27%
35%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 jun. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 3
CEN
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | -2 |
| 31 may. 2009 |
RIV
2 - 1
NAC
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 may. 2009 |
PAL
1 - 1
NAC
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 may. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 2
PEÑ
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |