Análisis Deportivo Merlo vs Almirante Brown
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
40.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.08
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
16%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
31.4%
Empate
0-0
14.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.4%
27.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
12.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 feb. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 1
MER
52%
27%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 2012 |
MER
2 - 1
GBR
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 feb. 2012 |
MER
3 - 1
GIM
39%
30%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 dic. 2011 |
INS
2 - 1
MER
55%
28%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 2
MER
12%
22%
66%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
Partidos
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 feb. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 1
QUI
32%
30%
38%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 2012 |
IRV
3 - 1
ALM
49%
28%
23%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 1
RIV
28%
30%
42%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2011 |
BUC
0 - 1
ALM
51%
28%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 1
GBR
47%
28%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |