Análisis Derby County vs Bristol City
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.91
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.3%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 sep. 1921 |
SHW
1 - 1
DER
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 1921 |
DER
1 - 0
BPO
63%
22%
16%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 1921 |
DER
0 - 1
SHW
62%
22%
17%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 ago. 1921 |
BPO
4 - 2
DER
51%
26%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 may. 1921 |
MUD
3 - 0
DER
61%
23%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 sep. 1921 |
LEE
3 - 0
BRI
59%
21%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 1921 |
BRI
2 - 2
NOT
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 1921 |
BRI
0 - 0
LEE
59%
21%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 1921 |
NOT
0 - 2
BRI
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 may. 1921 |
BRI
0 - 1
SHW
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |