Análisis Derby County vs Oldham Athletic AFC
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.21
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.5%
Empate
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.07
Goles esperados
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 mar. 1910 |
HUL
0 - 0
DER
55%
21%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 1910 |
FUL
0 - 0
DER
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 1910 |
DER
2 - 1
BPO
83%
11%
6%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 mar. 1910 |
DER
3 - 1
MAC
41%
24%
35%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 1910 |
LEY
0 - 2
DER
20%
24%
56%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 mar. 1910 |
MAC
0 - 2
OLD
80%
12%
8%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 1910 |
STO
2 - 0
OLD
29%
25%
46%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 mar. 1910 |
OLD
4 - 1
GRI
77%
14%
9%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 mar. 1910 |
OLD
5 - 0
BAR
65%
20%
16%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 mar. 1910 |
GAI
0 - 2
OLD
31%
25%
45%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |