Análisis Derby County vs Sunderland
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.35
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.6%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.13
Goles esperados
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 mar. 1934 |
DER
0 - 1
OPA
65%
19%
17%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 1934 |
HUR
2 - 0
DER
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 feb. 1934 |
DER
1 - 1
SHW
58%
20%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 1934 |
BIR
2 - 1
DER
43%
25%
31%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 feb. 1934 |
DER
1 - 1
WBA
66%
18%
16%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 mar. 1934 |
LEE
3 - 1
SUN
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 1934 |
SUN
2 - 0
NEW
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 feb. 1934 |
LIV
1 - 1
SUN
56%
21%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 1934 |
SUN
6 - 0
TOT
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 feb. 1934 |
LEI
0 - 0
SUN
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |