Análisis Derby vs FC Ultramarina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
56.3%
Probabilidad gana
2.29
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.8%
Empate
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
23.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.46
Goles esperados
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+55%
-50%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Derby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 may. 2024 |
SBV
2 - 0
DER
49%
24%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 jun. 2017 |
SAL
0 - 2
DER
48%
25%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 jun. 2017 |
DER
2 - 1
BRA
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 jun. 2017 |
SPR
1 - 1
DER
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 may. 2017 |
DER
1 - 0
SAL
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
FC Ultramarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 may. 2024 |
FCU
2 - 0
CFS
88%
8%
4%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 jun. 2022 |
GDV
1 - 0
FCU
57%
23%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 jun. 2022 |
FCU
0 - 2
SPR
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 jun. 2022 |
ROS
1 - 0
FCU
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 may. 2022 |
FCU
0 - 3
ROS
50%
23%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |