Análisis Bahía vs Itabuna
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.02
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.5%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
28.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.47
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
+17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 feb. 2007 |
ALA
1 - 3
BAH
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2007 |
BAH
2 - 2
JUA
63%
19%
18%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2007 |
IPI
1 - 1
BAH
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 2007 |
POC
1 - 1
BAH
43%
24%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2007 |
BAH
3 - 2
FLU
40%
24%
37%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
Partidos
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 feb. 2007 |
FLU
5 - 1
ITA
50%
23%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2007 |
ITA
0 - 0
POC
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2007 |
JUA
3 - 2
ITA
29%
23%
48%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 ene. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 1
IPI
54%
23%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 ene. 2007 |
ALA
2 - 1
ITA
23%
22%
55%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |