Análisis Bahía vs Vila Nova
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
42.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.52
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.3
Goles esperados
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 oct. 2008 |
ABC
5 - 1
BAH
37%
26%
38%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2008 |
AVA
4 - 1
BAH
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 sep. 2008 |
BAH
1 - 0
JUV
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 sep. 2008 |
BAH
1 - 1
CEA
46%
25%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2008 |
PAR
3 - 0
BAH
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 oct. 2008 |
VIL
0 - 2
PAR
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2008 |
VIL
1 - 0
FOR
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 sep. 2008 |
CRI
1 - 1
VIL
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 2008 |
JUV
4 - 3
VIL
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 sep. 2008 |
VIL
1 - 0
AVA
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |