Análisis Elche vs Numancia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.82
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.5%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 oct. 2011 |
VAD
2 - 1
ELC
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 2011 |
ELC
1 - 3
ALM
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2011 |
REC
1 - 0
ELC
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 sep. 2011 |
CEL
1 - 2
ELC
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 sep. 2011 |
REC
0 - 2
ELC
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 oct. 2011 |
NUM
0 - 2
CEL
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 1
NUM
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 sep. 2011 |
NUM
1 - 0
GIR
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 sep. 2011 |
CCF
1 - 0
NUM
48%
26%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 sep. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 0
NUM
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |