Análisis Espanyol vs Valencia

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto

Probabilidad del hándicap

39.7%
Probabilidad de victoria

                        
                    
1.3
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%

27.2%

Empate

0-0

8.6%

1-1

12.9%

2-2

4.8%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

0

27.2%

33.1%
Probabilidad de victoria

                        
                    
1.16
Goles esperados
0-1
10%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

+9%

+4%

Progresión del ELO

Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Espanyol

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
08 may. 2005	ESP 3 - 0 NUM 70% 19% 11%	0	0	0	0
01 may. 2005	MLL 3 - 2 ESP 46% 25% 29%	0	0	0	0
24 abr. 2005	ESP 3 - 1 ZAR 50% 25% 25%	0	0	0	0
16 abr. 2005	ATM 0 - 0 ESP 51% 25% 24%	0	0	0	0
10 abr. 2005	ESP 1 - 3 SEV 47% 26% 27%	0	0	0	0

Partidos

Valencia

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
08 may. 2005	VCF 0 - 2 FCB 39% 26% 35%	0	0	0	0
30 abr. 2005	NUM 1 - 1 VCF 19% 27% 53%	0	0	0	0
24 abr. 2005	VCF 2 - 0 ALB 75% 17% 8%	0	0	0	0
17 abr. 2005	MLL 0 - 0 VCF 32% 27% 41%	0	0	0	0
10 abr. 2005	VCF 2 - 2 MAL 68% 20% 12%	0	0	0	0