Análisis Estudiantes de Mérida vs Carabobo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.57
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.3%
Empate
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 ago. 2003 |
MIN
4 - 1
EST
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 ago. 2003 |
EST
1 - 1
MIR
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 ago. 2003 |
EST
0 - 0
CFC
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 may. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
EST
53%
24%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 may. 2003 |
EST
1 - 2
TAC
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 ago. 2003 |
CAR
1 - 2
CFC
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 ago. 2003 |
TRU
1 - 2
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 ago. 2003 |
CAR
0 - 0
TAC
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 may. 2003 |
CAR
0 - 0
MON
42%
26%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 may. 2003 |
TRU
1 - 2
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |