Análisis Estudiantes de Mérida vs Llaneros de Guanare
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.69
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.08
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ago. 2007 |
ANZ
3 - 0
EST
55%
22%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 2007 |
EST
2 - 0
CAR
21%
25%
54%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | +3 |
| 05 ago. 2007 |
EST
2 - 2
ZAM
16%
25%
59%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | +1 |
| 29 abr. 2007 |
LAR
2 - 1
EST
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 abr. 2007 |
EST
3 - 0
LLA
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Llaneros de Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 ago. 2007 |
LLA
1 - 1
ZAM
16%
25%
59%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 ago. 2007 |
MAR
3 - 2
LLA
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | +1 |
| 05 ago. 2007 |
LLA
2 - 0
CDS
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 abr. 2007 |
LLA
0 - 0
ATL
50%
24%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 abr. 2007 |
EST
3 - 0
LLA
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |