Análisis Excelsior vs Ajax
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.88
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
57.9%
Win probability
1.74
Goles esperados
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 jun. 1985 |
HFC
5 - 5
EXC
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 may. 1985 |
EXC
2 - 0
PSV
19%
24%
58%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +2 |
| 25 may. 1985 |
VOL
1 - 3
EXC
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 may. 1985 |
EXC
4 - 0
RJC
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 may. 1985 |
EXC
1 - 0
MVV
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 jun. 1985 |
PSV
4 - 0
AJA
52%
23%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 may. 1985 |
AJA
5 - 2
VOL
94%
5%
2%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 may. 1985 |
RJC
2 - 3
AJA
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 may. 1985 |
AJA
4 - 2
FEY
70%
16%
14%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 may. 1985 |
AJA
4 - 4
TWE
89%
8%
4%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |